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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | NagastaBagambi | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 42% (23–32, n=55) | 63% (989–572, n=1561) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $7.9M | $20K | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #3 | was PM monthly #890 | PM monthly #103 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 81% (25 of 31 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (71 of 98 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 96% of 24 at avg 35¢, ROI +65% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 38% (won 100% of 9) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 54% (won 92% of 13) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 8% (won 100% of 2) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 0% | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | NagastaBagambi | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $1 | — | Yes $1.0M |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $407K | — | No $335K |