Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankFlaznorpsoared
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (572–710, n=1282)52% (6563–6075, n=12638)100% (2–0, n=2)
Consensus PnL—$7.9M$3.6M$65K
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #10PM monthly #172
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position77% (27 of 35 open)73% (111 of 152 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 2 at avg 69¢, ROI +30%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)0%
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)0%
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)100% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BreakTheBankFlaznorpsoared
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
—Ravens $292KJaguars $288—
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Warriors $2.0KHeat $79—