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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankEnd123primm
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (571–700, n=1271)65% (275–146, n=421)50% (1082–1097, n=2179)
Consensus PnL—$9.4M-$18K$3.6M
Tracked as—PM monthly #1PM monthly #790PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position52% (13 of 25 open)100% (1 of 1 open)67% (26 of 39 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——NFL −18 pts, n=18—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 422 at avg 63¢, ROI −1%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)14% (won 11% of 57)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)10% (won 42% of 43)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)31% (won 63% of 132)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)45% (won 86% of 190)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.