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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
bbcvvcbvFlaznorpMD14Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Record (consensus markets)86% (18–3, n=21)71% (2531–1028, n=3559)81% (22–5, n=27)58% (11–8, n=19)
Consensus PnL$23K$501K$328K$782K
Tracked asPM monthly #854PM monthly #13PM monthly #118was PM monthly #70
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)49% (84 of 173 open)no open consensus position67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +20 pts n=17, ROI +16%
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22%92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 5% of 409)4% (won 0% of 1)8% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 41% of 222)13% (won 100% of 3)58% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 115)21% (won 80% of 5)33% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 94% of 271)63% (won 100% of 15)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.