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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| appleperson | fantasy7788 | Flaznorp | googleplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 52% (12–11, n=23) | 72% (1945–745, n=2690) | 50% (6–6, n=12) |
| Consensus PnL | $89 | $567K | $410K | $423K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #992 | PM monthly #37 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #20 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (6 of 8 open) | no open consensus position | 55% (128 of 232 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Soccer ±0 pts, n=381 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 2 at avg 68¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 13 at avg 47¢, ROI +54% | 44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1% | 100% of 6 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 8% (won 100% of 1) | 40% (won 6% of 362) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 54% (won 100% of 7) | 21% (won 43% of 192) | 17% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 31% (won 100% of 4) | 11% (won 64% of 103) | 83% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 8% (won 100% of 1) | 27% (won 95% of 239) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | appleperson | fantasy7788 | Flaznorp | googleplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Rockets (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | — | Jazz $4.5K | Rockets $50K |