PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
anothercoinRN100gringo00BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)no settled market48% (12107–12933, n=25040)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (514–627, n=1141)
Consensus PnL-$104$13.4M$3.5M$10.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #894PM monthly #14 + pinnedwas PM monthly #19PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus46% (12 of 26 open)68% (15 of 22 open)no open consensus position69% (27 of 39 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 56% of 2478)0%10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 94% of 5361)0%35% (won 98% of 181)
Entries 50–70¢—36% (won 99% of 8705)100% (won 86% of 7)34% (won 99% of 176)
Entries 70¢ and up—31% (won 100% of 7425)0%20% (won 100% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketanothercoinRN100gringo00BreakTheBank
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4——Yes $30K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $1——No $18K