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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ankaramessi10RN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Record (consensus markets)72% (21–8, n=29)48% (11736–12517, n=24253)56% (100–79, n=179)
Consensus PnL$31K$13.4M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #977Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #373
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position64% (54 of 84 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won75% of 28 at avg 59¢, ROI +20%94% of 23822 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 56% of 2463)7% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 75% of 8)22% (won 94% of 5333)26% (won 93% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢39% (won 64% of 11)36% (won 99% of 8660)42% (won 96% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up32% (won 89% of 9)31% (won 100% of 7366)24% (won 96% of 27)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.