PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ameisgoat1100gringo00BreakTheBankomnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)51% (1352–1281, n=2633)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (502–616, n=1118)50% (13367–13520, n=26887)
Consensus PnL$21K$3.5M$11.8M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #622was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1PM monthly #17
Sides with the consensus53% (20 of 38 open)no open consensus position70% (23 of 33 open)71% (17 of 24 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%91% of 10208 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—0%10% (won 85% of 53)8% (won 58% of 840)
Entries 30–50¢—0%35% (won 98% of 181)21% (won 86% of 2168)
Entries 50–70¢—100% (won 86% of 7)34% (won 99% of 176)38% (won 94% of 3916)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%20% (won 100% of 105)32% (won 99% of 3284)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketameisgoat1100gringo00BreakTheBankomnibus-076daa
Erste Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev
opposite sides · consensus Daniel Merida Aguilar
Daniil Medvedev $23——Daniel Merida Aguilar $3.9K
AC Milan vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2——Under $2.1K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $252KYes $318