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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
allen114BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)71% (293–122, n=415)45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6455–6056, n=12511)45% (10–12, n=22)
Consensus PnL-$283K$7.9M$3.6M$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #712PM monthly #3PM monthly #11PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus33% (1 of 3 open)88% (22 of 25 open)73% (129 of 177 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +16 pts n=160, ROI +8%
  • Finance +11 pts n=36, ROI +4%
  • Crypto +8 pts n=52, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won94% of 318 at avg 82¢, ROI +6%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 8)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 83% of 12)35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 86% of 51)35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up78% (won 98% of 247)20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.