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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| alfabetica | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (13–7, n=20) | 55% (13382–10751, n=24133) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 63% (1101–635, n=1736) |
| Consensus PnL | $35K | $1.4M | $3.2M | $4.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #634 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #109 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (3 of 3 open) | 64% (74 of 115 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (67 of 95 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −24 pts, n=12 | — | NFL −7 pts, n=158 |
| Settled positions, side won | 93% of 14 at avg 67¢, ROI +24% | 56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 30% (won 9% of 919) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 14% of 196) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 15% (won 37% of 455) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 18% (won 40% of 283) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 43% (won 83% of 6) | 14% (won 63% of 439) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 58% of 348) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 100% of 6) | 42% (won 94% of 1302) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 46% (won 94% of 710) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.