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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| alfabetica | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (13–7, n=20) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 63% (989–573, n=1562) |
| Consensus PnL | $39K | $7.9M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #580 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #91 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (4 of 4 open) | 78% (28 of 36 open) | 72% (54 of 75 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 93% of 14 at avg 67¢, ROI +24% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 43% (won 83% of 6) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 100% of 6) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | alfabetica | BreakTheBank | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $407K | No $335K |