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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| aibaby | sainttroplay | CORGII | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 63% (372–218, n=590) | 48% (11699–12466, n=24165) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $4.4M | $4.4M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #720 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #162 | Hand-picked |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 3 open) | no open consensus position | 80% (4 of 5 open) | 65% (11 of 17 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Soccer −8 pts, n=42 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 52% of 155 at avg 52¢, ROI +5% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 378 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 94% of 23802 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 25% of 12) | 0% | 9% (won 91% of 35) | 10% (won 56% of 2460) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 41% (won 47% of 64) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 55% (won 99% of 209) | 22% (won 94% of 5332) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 37% (won 51% of 57) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 34% (won 100% of 127) | 36% (won 99% of 8653) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 22) | 0% | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 31% (won 100% of 7357) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.