PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
abc51001BreakTheBankCORGII0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (516–628, n=1144)62% (386–233, n=619)56% (101–79, n=180)
Consensus PnL—$10.6M$4.5M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #908PM monthly #1PM monthly #78was PM monthly #373
Sides with the consensus54% (7 of 13 open)66% (25 of 38 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 385 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 91% of 35)7% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 181)56% (won 99% of 214)26% (won 93% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢—34% (won 99% of 176)34% (won 100% of 129)42% (won 96% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 105)2% (won 100% of 7)24% (won 96% of 27)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketabc51001BreakTheBankCORGII0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $67Yes $259K——
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $36Yes $3.7K——
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
No $2.4KNo $247K——
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $80No $38K——
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $197Yes $32K——
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $135Yes $20K——
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $96Yes $18K——
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $54No $14K——
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $37Yes $3.6K——
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $23Yes $2.5K——
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $13Yes $701——
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $8Yes $276——