← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| a17367162806 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | omnibus-076daa | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 98% (292–6, n=298) | 45% (553–663, n=1216) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 50% (15020–15050, n=30070) |
| Consensus PnL | -$150K | $11.2M | $5.6M | $3.0M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #391 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #56 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 56% (22 of 39 open) | no open consensus position | 60% (101 of 167 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 240 at avg 52¢, ROI +30% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 92% of 11470 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 8% (won 60% of 899) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 45% (won 98% of 107) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 21% (won 87% of 2444) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 100% of 117) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 39% (won 95% of 4418) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 100% of 13) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 32% (won 99% of 3709) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | a17367162806 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | omnibus-076daa |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $17K | — | Yes $2.2K |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $840 | — | Yes $149 |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $22K | — | Yes $117 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $17K | — | Yes $1.7K |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $15K | — | Yes $215 |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $2.6K | — | Yes $69 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.0K | — | Yes $59 |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $28 | — | Yes $41 |