← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Xhhh-060 | notgoodluck | RN1 | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 63% (209–125, n=334) | 48% (11697–12463, n=24160) | 63% (372–218, n=590) |
| Consensus PnL | — | -$49K | $13.4M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #880 | PM monthly #613 | Hand-picked | PM monthly #162 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 69% (9 of 13 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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|
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| Weakest topic | — | Soccer −8 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 141 at avg 69¢, ROI +18% | 60% of 346 at avg 59¢, ROI −3% | 94% of 23802 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 378 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 67% of 9) | 16% (won 14% of 56) | 10% (won 56% of 2460) | 9% (won 91% of 35) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 74% of 19) | 20% (won 36% of 70) | 22% (won 94% of 5332) | 55% (won 99% of 209) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 26% (won 97% of 36) | 29% (won 63% of 99) | 36% (won 99% of 8653) | 34% (won 100% of 127) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 55% (won 100% of 77) | 35% (won 92% of 121) | 31% (won 100% of 7357) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.