PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Winninghumblye333erocroiRockyZet
Record (consensus markets)no settled market80% (8–2, n=10)67% (28–14, n=42)64% (179–99, n=278)
Consensus PnL—$6.3K$149K$100K
Tracked asPM monthly #815was PM monthly #636PM monthly #460Hand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)100% (8 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic———Elections ±0 pts, n=101
Settled positions, side won97% of 156 at avg 96¢, ROI +2%70% of 10 at avg 58¢, ROI +17%58% of 36 at avg 47¢, ROI +2%65% of 354 at avg 63¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)0%36% (won 23% of 13)30% (won 10% of 106)
Entries 30–50¢1% (won 0% of 1)30% (won 67% of 3)8% (won 67% of 3)6% (won 32% of 22)
Entries 50–70¢1% (won 100% of 1)50% (won 60% of 5)33% (won 67% of 12)6% (won 57% of 23)
Entries 70¢ and up98% (won 99% of 153)20% (won 100% of 2)22% (won 100% of 8)57% (won 98% of 203)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.