PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Winning2...YYYYY999Vps1RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (2585–2638, n=5223)92% (175–15, n=190)49% (7263–7633, n=14896)
Consensus PnL—$167K$54K$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #976PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #139Hand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position56% (15 of 27 open)no open consensus position58% (96 of 165 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Tennis −1 pts, n=386——
Settled positions, side won—51% of 4315 at avg 49¢, ROI 0%96% of 45 at avg 84¢, ROI +32%93% of 19633 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—14% (won 22% of 597)4% (won 100% of 2)10% (won 52% of 2020)
Entries 30–50¢—43% (won 45% of 1867)9% (won 75% of 4)22% (won 93% of 4355)
Entries 50–70¢—29% (won 59% of 1253)11% (won 80% of 5)37% (won 99% of 7260)
Entries 70¢ and up—14% (won 79% of 598)76% (won 100% of 34)31% (won 100% of 5998)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketWinning2...YYYYY999Vps1RN1
Spread: Pacers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Nets $64K—Pacers $6
Spread: Pacers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Nets $8.3K—Pacers $272
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $7.5K—Jazz $227