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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Wickier | RN1 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 48% (11699–12471, n=24170) | 63% (372–218, n=590) | 45% (501–606, n=1107) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $13.4M | $4.4M | $9.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #910 | Hand-picked | PM monthly #162 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (5 of 5 open) | 69% (9 of 13 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 73% (24 of 33 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 94% of 23702 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 378 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 494 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 56% of 2452) | 9% (won 91% of 35) | 11% (won 87% of 52) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 22% (won 94% of 5319) | 55% (won 99% of 209) | 34% (won 98% of 169) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 36% (won 99% of 8623) | 34% (won 100% of 127) | 34% (won 99% of 170) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 31% (won 100% of 7308) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 21% (won 100% of 103) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Wickier | RN1 | CORGII | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $71K | — | — | No $118K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $136K | — | — | Yes $22K |