PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xd3B697c398136430AA46b5C2C62ec4166319Fa47-1770489446062noreasapaNe8omKangta8585
Record (consensus markets)38% (130–213, n=343)93% (3625–260, n=3885)49% (133–138, n=271)67% (1055–511, n=1566)
Consensus PnL$7.1K$139K-$36K$350K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #863was PM monthly #977PM monthly #374was PM monthly #863
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 3 open)40% (2 of 5 open)no open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +38 pts n=26, ROI +57%
  • Soccer +11 pts n=138, ROI +9%
  • NBA +16 pts n=56, ROI +9%
  • Soccer +46 pts n=118, ROI +43%
Weakest topicNHL −7 pts, n=45Science −3 pts, n=22—College Basketball −4 pts, n=55
Settled positions, side won51% of 290 at avg 38¢, ROI +9%93% of 3804 at avg 92¢, ROI +1%100% of 118 at avg 54¢, ROI +43%67% of 2102 at avg 58¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢27% (won 34% of 77)6% (won 13% of 225)6% (won 100% of 7)4% (won 26% of 81)
Entries 30–50¢61% (won 54% of 177)1% (won 51% of 55)33% (won 100% of 39)24% (won 53% of 507)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 70% of 33)1% (won 72% of 39)45% (won 100% of 53)50% (won 70% of 1052)
Entries 70¢ and up1% (won 100% of 3)92% (won 100% of 3485)16% (won 100% of 19)22% (won 84% of 462)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xd3B697c398136430AA46b5C2C62ec4166319Fa47-1770489446062noreasapaNe8omKangta8585
LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage
opposite sides · consensus Team Secret Whales
LOS $151——Team Secret Whales $1.4K