PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SunflowaRebuildYear00gringo00BreakTheBanksainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)93% (283–22, n=305)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (517–633, n=1150)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$34K$3.5M$10.6M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #485was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus56% (5 of 9 open)no open consensus position62% (66 of 106 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=83, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=278, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 235 at avg 48¢, ROI +54%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%97% of 530 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 100% of 7)0%10% (won 83% of 54)0%
Entries 30–50¢58% (won 100% of 136)0%35% (won 98% of 188)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 100% of 86)100% (won 86% of 7)34% (won 99% of 182)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up3% (won 100% of 6)0%20% (won 100% of 106)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketSunflowaRebuildYear00gringo00BreakTheBanksainttroplay
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Nuggets $256—Suns $291K—
Lakers vs. Warriors
same side · consensus Lakers
Warriors $2.4K—Warriors $50K—