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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SportsTrading123 | notgoodluck | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 63% (209–125, n=334) | 48% (12121–12955, n=25076) | 45% (484–601, n=1085) |
| Consensus PnL | — | -$49K | $13.4M | $9.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #601 | PM monthly #616 | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 49% (20 of 41 open) | 75% (27 of 36 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Soccer −8 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 60% of 346 at avg 59¢, ROI −3% | 94% of 23702 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 494 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 16% (won 14% of 56) | 10% (won 56% of 2452) | 11% (won 87% of 52) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 20% (won 36% of 70) | 22% (won 94% of 5319) | 34% (won 98% of 169) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 29% (won 63% of 99) | 36% (won 99% of 8623) | 34% (won 99% of 170) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 35% (won 92% of 121) | 31% (won 100% of 7308) | 21% (won 100% of 103) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | SportsTrading123 | notgoodluck | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Nuggets (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | — | Warriors $1.2K | Nuggets $317K |