PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SlavaUkrainisainttroplayRN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)68% (13–6, n=19)71% (10–4, n=14)48% (11876–12684, n=24560)45% (502–616, n=1118)
Consensus PnL$24K$4.4M$13.4M$11.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #967was PM monthly #11PM monthly #17 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus82% (18 of 22 open)no open consensus position76% (16 of 21 open)73% (24 of 33 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%94% of 23822 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢—0%10% (won 56% of 2463)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢—50% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 94% of 5333)35% (won 98% of 181)
Entries 50–70¢—50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 99% of 8660)34% (won 99% of 176)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%31% (won 100% of 7366)20% (won 100% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketSlavaUkrainisainttroplayRN1BreakTheBank
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $98K——Yes $265K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
same side · consensus No
No $310K——No $347
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $38K——Yes $4.8K
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $1.0K——No $13K