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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SlavaUkraini | BreakTheBank | RN1 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 68% (13–6, n=19) | 45% (502–616, n=1118) | 48% (11876–12684, n=24560) | 69% (43–19, n=62) |
| Consensus PnL | $24K | $11.1M | $13.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #967 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #17 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (18 of 22 open) | 73% (24 of 33 open) | 76% (16 of 21 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=91 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 23822 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 211 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2463) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 98% of 181) | 22% (won 94% of 5333) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 34% (won 99% of 176) | 36% (won 99% of 8660) | 54% (won 52% of 114) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 100% of 105) | 31% (won 100% of 7366) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | SlavaUkraini | BreakTheBank | RN1 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $98K | Yes $265K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House same side · consensus No | No $310K | No $347 | — | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $38K | Yes $4.8K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $1.0K | No $13K | — | — |