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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RN1sainttroplayTKKnoallin
Record (consensus markets)47% (14377–16003, n=30380)71% (10–4, n=14)60% (102–69, n=171)
Consensus PnL$14.8M$4.4M$11K
Tracked asPM monthly #18 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11PM monthly #893
Sides with the consensus54% (41 of 76 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%65% of 146 at avg 52¢, ROI +10%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 57% of 2606)0%22% (won 28% of 32)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 94% of 5665)50% (won 100% of 5)20% (won 55% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 99% of 9185)50% (won 100% of 5)33% (won 75% of 48)
Entries 70¢ and up32% (won 100% of 8345)0%25% (won 92% of 37)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.