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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RN1sainttroplaySickasulu
Record (consensus markets)47% (13346–14851, n=28197)no settled market63% (119–70, n=189)
Consensus PnL$14.8M—-$54K
Tracked asPM monthly #24 + pinned—was PM monthly #996
Sides with the consensus53% (19 of 36 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—63% of 221 at avg 57¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 57% of 2606)—8% (won 24% of 17)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 94% of 5665)—20% (won 48% of 44)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 99% of 9185)—57% (won 67% of 126)
Entries 70¢ and up32% (won 100% of 8345)—15% (won 91% of 34)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.