PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SSCCAAMMSingteldddtrips0x6982049c65e98606f65A0CE71fDb9b61296dA165-1777135114945
Record (consensus markets)67% (88–43, n=131)95% (42–2, n=44)58% (472–338, n=810)95% (597–29, n=626)
Consensus PnL$9.5K-$4.9K$300K$1.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #973was PM monthly #965was PM monthly #622was PM monthly #957
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position67% (2 of 3 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • MMA +34 pts n=42, ROI +34%
  • MLB +32 pts n=67, ROI +32%
  • Mentions +24 pts n=261, ROI +24%
Weakest topicMentions −14 pts, n=13—Crypto −12 pts, n=12—
Settled positions, side won62% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI −10%67% of 3 at avg 75¢, ROI −75%73% of 615 at avg 50¢, ROI +20%98% of 846 at avg 72¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 6% of 16)0%29% (won 34% of 177)2% (won 85% of 20)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 48% of 21)33% (won 100% of 1)12% (won 67% of 76)10% (won 97% of 88)
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 62% of 42)0%28% (won 90% of 172)22% (won 97% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up29% (won 100% of 32)67% (won 50% of 2)31% (won 95% of 190)65% (won 99% of 551)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.