PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SSCCAAMM0xd14650532E11324cdaca20f45666486c24679Bf0-1758702953678dddtripsvfhjghj1231234
Record (consensus markets)67% (88–43, n=131)49% (384–392, n=776)58% (472–338, n=810)89% (47–6, n=53)
Consensus PnL$9.5K$293K$300K$65K
Tracked asPM monthly #978was PM monthly #997was PM monthly #622PM monthly #273
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position67% (2 of 3 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +18 pts n=708, ROI +17%
  • MMA +34 pts n=42, ROI +34%
  • MLB +32 pts n=67, ROI +32%
  • Mentions +24 pts n=261, ROI +24%
Weakest topicMentions −14 pts, n=13—Crypto −12 pts, n=12—
Settled positions, side won62% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI −10%56% of 710 at avg 37¢, ROI +17%73% of 615 at avg 50¢, ROI +20%90% of 41 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 6% of 16)29% (won 30% of 206)29% (won 34% of 177)0%
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 48% of 21)47% (won 65% of 334)12% (won 67% of 76)22% (won 67% of 9)
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 62% of 42)24% (won 68% of 170)28% (won 90% of 172)68% (won 100% of 28)
Entries 70¢ and up29% (won 100% of 32)0%31% (won 95% of 190)10% (won 75% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.