← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Monopoly_Money | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (516–628, n=1144) | 49% (870–902, n=1772) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $4.4M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #832 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 87% (27 of 31 open) | no open consensus position | 65% (28 of 43 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 97% of 530 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 811 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 0% | 10% (won 83% of 54) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 98% of 188) | 41% (won 99% of 331) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 34% (won 99% of 182) | 49% (won 99% of 397) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 106) | 5% (won 100% of 40) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Monopoly_Money | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $14K | — | No $34K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $11K | — | Yes $36K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $7.6K | — | Yes $26K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.9K | — | No $7.9K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $37K | — | Yes $274K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $139K | — | Yes $172K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $145 | — | No $40K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $1.3K | — | No $13K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.2K | — | Yes $2.0K | — |