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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Miojinholineth88MBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)68% (63–29, n=92)49% (215–220, n=435)49% (659–677, n=1336)67% (469–231, n=700)
Consensus PnL$36K$91K$528K$10.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #685PM monthly #832was PM monthly #629PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus67% (2 of 3 open)44% (11 of 25 open)100% (2 of 2 open)76% (53 of 70 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +50 pts n=107, ROI +51%
  • NBA +50 pts n=49, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=272, ROI +38%
Weakest topic——Mentions −14 pts, n=12—
Settled positions, side won—63% of 429 at avg 46¢, ROI +17%55% of 1257 at avg 42¢, ROI +13%97% of 471 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢—41% (won 29% of 177)27% (won 18% of 337)11% (won 87% of 52)
Entries 30–50¢—14% (won 72% of 58)36% (won 58% of 455)34% (won 98% of 162)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 84% of 67)30% (won 75% of 371)33% (won 99% of 154)
Entries 70¢ and up—30% (won 94% of 127)7% (won 87% of 94)22% (won 100% of 103)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketMiojinholineth88MBreakTheBank
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
same side · consensus No
No $4.4KNo $18K——