PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Miojinhoic4cream0010001000001100BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)68% (63–29, n=92)61% (2442–1553, n=3995)81% (1284–298, n=1582)67% (469–231, n=700)
Consensus PnL$36K$574K$127K$10.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #685PM monthly #46was PM monthly #799PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus67% (2 of 3 open)0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position76% (53 of 70 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +18 pts n=1284, ROI +10%
  • F1 +20 pts n=26, ROI +13%
  • NFL +13 pts n=36, ROI +3%
  • NFL +50 pts n=107, ROI +51%
  • NBA +50 pts n=49, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=272, ROI +38%
Weakest topic——NBA −2 pts, n=70—
Settled positions, side won—100% of 2100 at avg 59¢, ROI +40%87% of 1457 at avg 70¢, ROI +10%97% of 471 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢—2% (won 100% of 34)11% (won 45% of 155)11% (won 87% of 52)
Entries 30–50¢—24% (won 100% of 495)11% (won 72% of 159)34% (won 98% of 162)
Entries 50–70¢—48% (won 100% of 1016)16% (won 89% of 232)33% (won 99% of 154)
Entries 70¢ and up—26% (won 100% of 555)63% (won 97% of 911)22% (won 100% of 103)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.