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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
LanlanlanlanprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market50% (1116–1127, n=2243)47% (14240–15745, n=29985)
Consensus PnL—$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #929PM monthly #50PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position58% (14 of 24 open)62% (47 of 76 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢—41% (won 99% of 418)22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢—49% (won 99% of 504)35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketLanlanlanlanprimmRN1
Nebraska vs. Illinois: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $7.4KUnder $7.5K
New Mexico vs. Nevada
opposite sides · consensus New Mexico
—Nevada $7.4KNew Mexico $2.5K
Spread: South Florida (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus South Florida
—South Florida $3.7KEast Carolina $3.5K
Spread: Nebraska (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Illinois
—Nebraska $2.1KIllinois $2.6K
South Florida vs. East Carolina: O/U 37.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.8KUnder $2.6K
Spread: Nebraska (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Illinois
—Nebraska $2.0KIllinois $2.2K
Spread: New Mexico (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus New Mexico
—Nevada $1.3KNew Mexico $1.2K
Spread: Illinois (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Illinois
—Nebraska $1.1KIllinois $860
Spread: Illinois (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nebraska
—Nebraska $752Illinois $874
Spread: Illinois (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nebraska
—Nebraska $1.1KIllinois $330
Spread: New Mexico (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus New Mexico
—Nevada $297New Mexico $655
Spread: Arizona (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus TCU
—Arizona $402TCU $411
Nebraska vs. Illinois: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $16Under $566
New Mexico vs. Nevada: O/U 43.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.7KOver $272
Spread: Nebraska (-6.5)
same side · consensus Illinois
—Illinois $91Illinois $779
New Mexico vs. Nevada: O/U 35.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $133Over $77
New Mexico vs. Nevada: O/U 41.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $164Over $23