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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| LaminionYamal | RN1 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (1823–2294, n=4117) | 47% (13871–15347, n=29218) | 61% (495–321, n=816) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $16K | $14.8M | -$352K | $11.0M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #946 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 56% (27 of 48 open) | 72% (13 of 18 open) | 87% (143 of 164 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Soccer −1 pts, n=556 | — | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 4195 at avg 44¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 22% (won 20% of 933) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 15% (won 29% of 125) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 39% (won 41% of 1646) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 34% (won 58% of 283) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 33% (won 58% of 1379) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 43% (won 69% of 354) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 81% of 237) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 7% (won 80% of 60) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | LaminionYamal | RN1 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $129 | Over $2.6K | — |