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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
LaminionYamalBreakTheBanksurfandturfCORGII
Record (consensus markets)44% (1703–2131, n=3834)45% (542–652, n=1194)52% (273–252, n=525)62% (395–247, n=642)
Consensus PnL$16K$10.6M$4.1M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #946PM monthly #1was PM monthly #326PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)90% (146 of 163 open)50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
  • MMA +4 pts n=148, ROI +10%
  • NBA +4 pts n=76, ROI +12%
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=556—NFL −11 pts, n=58—
Settled positions, side won44% of 4195 at avg 44¢, ROI 0%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢22% (won 20% of 933)10% (won 82% of 56)20% (won 12% of 109)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢39% (won 41% of 1646)36% (won 98% of 198)21% (won 46% of 114)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 58% of 1379)35% (won 99% of 191)33% (won 60% of 176)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 81% of 237)19% (won 100% of 107)26% (won 82% of 137)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketLaminionYamalBreakTheBanksurfandturfCORGII
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $68Yes $1.7K——