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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
LaminionYamalBreakTheBankRN10x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
Record (consensus markets)44% (1703–2131, n=3834)45% (542–652, n=1194)47% (13868–15346, n=29214)46% (131–154, n=285)
Consensus PnL$16K$10.6M$13.4M$19.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #946PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #715
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)90% (147 of 164 open)83% (5 of 6 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=556——College Basketball −12 pts, n=174
Settled positions, side won44% of 4195 at avg 44¢, ROI 0%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢22% (won 20% of 933)10% (won 82% of 56)10% (won 57% of 2537)0% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢39% (won 41% of 1646)36% (won 98% of 198)22% (won 94% of 5518)42% (won 46% of 565)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 58% of 1379)35% (won 99% of 191)36% (won 99% of 8928)57% (won 51% of 766)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 81% of 237)19% (won 100% of 107)32% (won 100% of 7821)0% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketLaminionYamalBreakTheBankRN10x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $68Yes $1.7K——