← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Kickstand7 | lineth | thismonth | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 49% (215–220, n=435) | 63% (421–246, n=667) | 67% (469–231, n=700) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $91K | $75K | $10.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #213 | PM monthly #835 | was PM monthly #676 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (4 of 4 open) | 44% (11 of 25 open) | 0% (0 of 3 open) | 76% (53 of 70 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 63% of 429 at avg 46¢, ROI +17% | 63% of 618 at avg 35¢, ROI +10% | 97% of 471 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 41% (won 29% of 177) | 43% (won 40% of 266) | 11% (won 87% of 52) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 14% (won 72% of 58) | 33% (won 72% of 205) | 34% (won 98% of 162) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 16% (won 84% of 67) | 18% (won 92% of 110) | 33% (won 99% of 154) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 30% (won 94% of 127) | 6% (won 95% of 37) | 22% (won 100% of 103) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Kickstand7 | lineth | thismonth | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $973 | Yes $393 | — | — |