← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Kickstand7 | lineth | qiu3 | Bonereaper | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 49% (215–220, n=435) | 89% (8–1, n=9) | 86% (43246–6849, n=50095) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $91K | $32K | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #210 | PM monthly #832 | was PM monthly #573 | PM monthly #273 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (4 of 4 open) | 44% (11 of 25 open) | no open consensus position | 40% (4 of 10 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 63% of 429 at avg 46¢, ROI +17% | 98% of 43 at avg 57¢, ROI +37% | 98% of 36616 at avg 67¢, ROI +24% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 41% (won 29% of 177) | 5% (won 100% of 2) | 4% (won 85% of 1370) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 14% (won 72% of 58) | 26% (won 91% of 11) | 16% (won 95% of 5840) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 16% (won 84% of 67) | 56% (won 100% of 24) | 35% (won 98% of 12695) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 30% (won 94% of 127) | 14% (won 100% of 6) | 46% (won 100% of 16711) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Kickstand7 | lineth | qiu3 | Bonereaper |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $973 | Yes $393 | — | — |