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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
HomeRunHazardthatsabing0
Record (consensus markets)55% (216–179, n=395)68% (55–26, n=81)
Consensus PnL$290K-$2.3K
Tracked asPM monthly #7was PM monthly #776
Sides with the consensus61% (83 of 135 open)67% (20 of 30 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%—
Entries under 30¢1% (won 100% of 1)—
Entries 30–50¢32% (won 100% of 31)—
Entries 50–70¢57% (won 100% of 55)—
Entries 70¢ and up10% (won 100% of 10)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketHomeRunHazardthatsabing0
Spread: Central Michigan (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
Sacramento State $1.5KCentral Michigan $4
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Falcons
Falcons $1.2KChiefs $3
Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.7KOver $30