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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:BreakTheBank0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188googleplayfantasy7788robustmst0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592
| HomeRunHazard | smithagent | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (208–178, n=386) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $230K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #7 | was PM monthly #873 |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (113 of 171 open) | 42% (5 of 12 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 1) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 32% (won 100% of 31) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 57% (won 100% of 55) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 100% of 10) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | smithagent |
|---|---|---|
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2 | Under $23 |
| Lakers vs. Bucks same side · consensus Lakers | Lakers $14K | Lakers $53 |
| Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats same side · consensus Abilene Christian Wildcats | Abilene Christian Wildcats $53 | Abilene Christian Wildcats $3 |
| Pepperdine Waves vs. Sam Houston Bearkats same side · consensus Sam Houston Bearkats | Pepperdine Waves $37 | Pepperdine Waves $5 |