Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
HomeRunHazardNdjdnrru33Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Record (consensus markets)53% (481–419, n=900)no settled market58% (11–8, n=19)
Consensus PnL$363K$0$782K
Tracked asPM monthly #7PM monthly #783was PM monthly #70
Sides with the consensus63% (144 of 227 open)100% (1 of 1 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%—92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 100% of 3)—8% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢31% (won 100% of 70)—58% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢60% (won 100% of 135)—33% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 16)—0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.