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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Herdonia | omnibus-076daa | 00gringo00 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 91% (940–89, n=1029) | 50% (13566–13694, n=27260) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 48% (12083–12906, n=24989) |
| Consensus PnL | $72K | $3.5M | $3.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #414 | PM monthly #15 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #17 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 40% (2 of 5 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (3 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 8% (won 59% of 860) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2478) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 21% (won 86% of 2252) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5361) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 39% (won 94% of 4102) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 36% (won 99% of 8705) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 32% (won 99% of 3425) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7425) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Herdonia | omnibus-076daa | 00gringo00 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seoul: Alibek Kachmazov vs Seong-Chan Hong same side · consensus Alibek Kachmazov | — | Alibek Kachmazov $7 | — | Alibek Kachmazov $3 |