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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| Hawk.live | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (296–240, n=536) | 50% (1116–1127, n=2243) | 47% (14227–15735, n=29962) |
| Consensus PnL | $27K | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #612 | PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 76% (13 of 17 open) | 57% (69 of 121 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | Esports ±0 pts, n=518 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 524 at avg 56¢, ROI −3% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 23% (won 4% of 122) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 27% of 78) | 41% (won 99% of 418) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 25% (won 68% of 130) | 49% (won 99% of 504) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 37% (won 92% of 194) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Hawk.live | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: SMU (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus SMU | — | Virginia Tech $412 | SMU $407 |
| Spread: SMU (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | Virginia Tech $381 | SMU $310 |
| Nebraska vs. Illinois same side · consensus Nebraska | — | Nebraska $580 | Nebraska $8.0K |
| Spread: SMU (-6.5) same side · consensus SMU | — | SMU $3.4K | SMU $719 |
| Spread: Nebraska (-4.5) same side · consensus Illinois | — | Nebraska $2.0K | Nebraska $12 |
| Virginia Tech vs. SMU: O/U 55.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $20 | Over $1.1K |
| Spread: SMU (-4.5) same side · consensus SMU | — | SMU $3 | SMU $88 |