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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Haradwaith | joseph00677 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 38% (3421–5699, n=9120) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 50% (1151–1158, n=2309) | 47% (14701–16266, n=30967) |
| Consensus PnL | -$473K | $5.3M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #252 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #47 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (571 of 786 open) | no open consensus position | 78% (7 of 9 open) | 58% (53 of 91 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | Weather −6 pts, n=589 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 37% of 4101 at avg 40¢, ROI −2% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 56% (won 3% of 2296) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 34% of 173) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 49% of 168) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 36% (won 89% of 1464) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Haradwaith | joseph00677 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee opposite sides · consensus Middle Tennessee | Western Kentucky $555 | — | Middle Tennessee $5.1K | — |