Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
HAN88888ndb1omnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)100% (13–0, n=13)63% (987–572, n=1559)50% (15433–15507, n=30940)47% (14055–15545, n=29600)
Consensus PnL$49K$3.2M$3.1M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #601PM monthly #102PM monthly #59PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position74% (99 of 134 open)55% (77 of 140 open)52% (15 of 29 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won100% of 12 at avg 91¢, ROI +8%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%13% (won 15% of 168)8% (won 60% of 874)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢0%20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 87% of 2384)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢0%24% (won 58% of 314)38% (won 95% of 4296)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up100% (won 100% of 12)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 99% of 3716)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketHAN88888ndb1omnibus-076daaRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KOver $1.5K
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
opposite sides · consensus Quentin Halys
——Tommy Paul $94Quentin Halys $1.6K
Taipei: Carl Overbeck vs Kasidit Samrej
opposite sides · consensus Carl Overbeck
——Carl Overbeck $215Kasidit Samrej $35
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $11KYes $3—
Luanda: Kristina Kroitor vs Ksenia Zaytseva
same side · consensus Ksenia Zaytseva
——Ksenia Zaytseva $28Ksenia Zaytseva $5.0K