PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
NatoAlfista0xd4aa6f8e91cfea29b66a48ebff528140xe98c6194374418b1d1b27321f025bd64ac2c8792
Record (consensus markets)48% (3299–3527, n=6826)47% (157–176, n=333)92% (213–18, n=231)
Consensus PnL$32K-$443K$434K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #994PM monthly #51PM monthly #921
Sides with the consensus46% (33 of 71 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +6 pts n=39, ROI +14%
  • Tennis +8 pts n=10, ROI +29%
Weakest topic—MLB −4 pts, n=14—
Settled positions, side won94% of 1999 at avg 46¢, ROI +42%48% of 322 at avg 47¢, ROI 0%98% of 335 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 221)16% (won 13% of 52)3% (won 90% of 10)
Entries 30–50¢48% (won 94% of 966)40% (won 45% of 128)36% (won 98% of 120)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 97% of 802)33% (won 60% of 106)59% (won 98% of 197)
Entries 70¢ and up1% (won 80% of 10)11% (won 78% of 36)2% (won 100% of 8)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.