PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)67% (88–43, n=131)47% (224–250, n=474)92% (55–5, n=60)49% (847–879, n=1726)
Consensus PnL$9.5K$317K$276K$572K
Tracked asPM monthly #973was PM monthly #599was PM monthly #969 + pinnedPM monthly #141
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position94% (16 of 17 open)38% (3 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicMentions −14 pts, n=13—Economy −1 pts, n=11—
Settled positions, side won62% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI −10%73% of 313 at avg 44¢, ROI +33%94% of 197 at avg 91¢, ROI +1%68% of 1156 at avg 46¢, ROI +19%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 6% of 16)24% (won 45% of 75)1% (won 0% of 2)22% (won 24% of 250)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 48% of 21)35% (won 76% of 111)3% (won 33% of 6)34% (won 72% of 392)
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 62% of 42)36% (won 85% of 113)5% (won 67% of 9)31% (won 84% of 362)
Entries 70¢ and up29% (won 100% of 32)4% (won 100% of 14)91% (won 98% of 180)13% (won 95% of 152)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.