PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SSCCAAMMKkunnTigerofthehoodallen114
Record (consensus markets)67% (88–43, n=131)47% (224–250, n=474)92% (55–5, n=60)82% (163–37, n=200)
Consensus PnL$9.5K$317K$276K$155K
Tracked asPM monthly #973was PM monthly #599was PM monthly #969 + pinnedwas PM monthly #982
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position94% (16 of 17 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +15 pts n=151, ROI +8%
  • Finance +10 pts n=28, ROI +3%
  • Soccer +12 pts n=22, ROI −1%
Weakest topicMentions −14 pts, n=13—Economy −1 pts, n=11—
Settled positions, side won62% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI −10%73% of 313 at avg 44¢, ROI +33%94% of 197 at avg 91¢, ROI +1%94% of 273 at avg 82¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 6% of 16)24% (won 45% of 75)1% (won 0% of 2)3% (won 43% of 7)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 48% of 21)35% (won 76% of 111)3% (won 33% of 6)3% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 62% of 42)36% (won 85% of 113)5% (won 67% of 9)16% (won 87% of 45)
Entries 70¢ and up29% (won 100% of 32)4% (won 100% of 14)91% (won 98% of 180)78% (won 98% of 213)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketSSCCAAMMKkunnTigerofthehoodallen114
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $54K——Yes $46K