PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
GoalLineGhostRN1wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
Record (consensus markets)59% (3007–2059, n=5066)49% (7039–7391, n=14430)95% (1939–95, n=2034)
Consensus PnL$26.8M$13.2M$36.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #133Hand-pickedPM monthly #48
Sides with the consensus56% (29 of 52 open)75% (15 of 20 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +31 pts n=3100, ROI +22%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won99% of 3100 at avg 68¢, ROI +22%92% of 20730 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%100% of 1652 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 94% of 286)10% (won 49% of 2167)1% (won 100% of 24)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 98% of 330)22% (won 92% of 4547)41% (won 100% of 670)
Entries 50–70¢22% (won 99% of 697)36% (won 98% of 7502)49% (won 100% of 805)
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 100% of 1787)31% (won 100% of 6514)9% (won 100% of 153)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketGoalLineGhostRN1wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $11KOver $1.4K—
Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-10-25?
same side · consensus No
No $4.9KNo $4.1K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $3.2KNo $2.4K—
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-10-25?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.4KYes $1.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $1.6KUnder $1.1K—