PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
GoalLineGhostRN10x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
Record (consensus markets)59% (3007–2059, n=5066)49% (7039–7391, n=14430)46% (119–138, n=257)
Consensus PnL$26.8M$13.2M$18.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #133Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #715
Sides with the consensus56% (29 of 52 open)75% (15 of 20 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +31 pts n=3100, ROI +22%
  • NHL +5 pts n=186, ROI +6%
Weakest topic——College Basketball −8 pts, n=259
Settled positions, side won99% of 3100 at avg 68¢, ROI +22%92% of 20730 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%50% of 1403 at avg 50¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 94% of 286)10% (won 49% of 2167)0% (won 0% of 5)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 98% of 330)22% (won 92% of 4547)41% (won 48% of 575)
Entries 50–70¢22% (won 99% of 697)36% (won 98% of 7502)58% (won 51% of 819)
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 100% of 1787)31% (won 100% of 6514)0% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketGoalLineGhostRN10x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $11KOver $1.4K—
Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-10-25?
same side · consensus No
No $4.9KNo $4.1K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $3.2KNo $2.4K—
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-10-25?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.4KYes $1.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $1.6KUnder $1.1K—