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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Gaditima | RN1 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (3464–4027, n=7491) | 48% (11699–12471, n=24170) | 45% (501–606, n=1107) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | -$206K | $13.4M | $9.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #391 | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 42% (71 of 169 open) | 69% (9 of 13 open) | 73% (24 of 33 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 94% of 23702 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 494 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 56% of 2452) | 11% (won 87% of 52) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 22% (won 94% of 5319) | 34% (won 98% of 169) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 36% (won 99% of 8623) | 34% (won 99% of 170) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 31% (won 100% of 7308) | 21% (won 100% of 103) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Gaditima | RN1 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $3.6K | — | Yes $4.6K | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $944 | — | Yes $5.4K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $142 | No $2.5K | — | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $923 | — | Yes $34K | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $191 | — | Yes $4.8K | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $18 | — | Yes $3.3K | — |
| KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kia Tigers same side · consensus Lotte Giants | Lotte Giants $181 | Lotte Giants $44 | — | — |