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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Gaditima | BreakTheBank | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 39% (276–424, n=700) | 45% (501–601, n=1102) | 48% (11676–12428, n=24104) | 56% (100–79, n=179) |
| Consensus PnL | -$7.4K | $9.6M | $13.4M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #384 | PM monthly #1 | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (13 of 24 open) | 70% (23 of 33 open) | 73% (8 of 11 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 98% of 494 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 23702 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 96% of 100 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 11% (won 87% of 52) | 10% (won 56% of 2452) | 7% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 34% (won 98% of 169) | 22% (won 94% of 5319) | 24% (won 96% of 24) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 34% (won 99% of 170) | 36% (won 99% of 8623) | 44% (won 98% of 44) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 21% (won 100% of 103) | 31% (won 100% of 7308) | 25% (won 96% of 25) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Gaditima | BreakTheBank | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.5K | Yes $4.6K | — | — |